Dodgers Favoured to Repeat as Kalshi Lists 2026 World Series Odds
Kalshi's event contracts put the Dodgers at 30.4% to win it all, the latest sign the prediction market is mirroring sportsbook odds.
This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by the ON360 newsroom.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the favourites to win the 2026 World Series, according to pricing on Kalshi, the U.S. prediction market that continues to publish odds resembling those of a traditional sportsbook. The Dodgers sit at a 30.4 percent implied probability, equivalent to +229 in American odds, as Major League Baseball’s postseason gets underway.
Gambling Insider reported the figures on September 28, listing a full board of contenders behind Los Angeles: the Milwaukee Brewers at 17 percent (+880), the Tampa Bay Rays at 11 percent (+809) and the New York Yankees at 10.2 percent (+880). The San Diego Padres, Cleveland Guardians, Atlanta Braves, Chicago Cubs, Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros, Philadelphia Phillies and Chicago White Sox round out the board, with the White Sox longest at 2.3 percent.
Dodgers carry injury questions into October
Los Angeles enters the postseason without a fully healthy Shohei Ohtani, who was placed on the injured list September 9 with knee and bicep issues and will not pitch in the playoffs. Ohtani hit .238 over his last five games. Right-hander Blake Treinen, who went 4-1 this season, is also done after a shoulder injury.
Freddie Freeman (.288) and Mookie Betts (.257) remain the offensive anchors. Tarik Skubal, acquired from Detroit in August, has looked sharp, striking out 10 over seven scoreless innings in a recent win over San Francisco. The Dodgers will face the winner of the Phillies-Braves series.
Brewers and Rays offer value at longer prices
Milwaukee finished the regular season 103-59, the best record in baseball. Right-hander Jacob Misiorowski led the National League with 252 strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA, going 16-5, and closer Trevor Megill recorded 30 saves. The Brewers scored 832 runs, second only to the Cubs, despite hitting the second-fewest home runs in MLB. Milwaukee has never won a World Series.
Tampa Bay is also chasing a first title. Third baseman Junior Caminero, an AL MVP candidate, led the Rays with 42 homers, 101 RBIs and a .360 on-base percentage while playing all 162 games for a second straight year. Starter Shane McClanahan will miss the ALDS with forearm tightness but could return later in October.
Why a prediction market matters to Ontario bettors
Kalshi is a U.S. derivatives exchange regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, not a licensed gambling operator. Its event contracts have increasingly mirrored sportsbook markets for football and now baseball, drawing sustained legal challenges across several U.S. states and from tribal gaming interests over whether it is operating as an unregulated sportsbook.
In Ontario, regulated sports wagering runs through operators registered with iGaming Ontario and overseen by the AGCO. Players who want deposit limits, self-exclusion tools or other safeguards should stick to that regulated channel rather than offshore or unregistered platforms. Support for problem gambling is available around the clock through ConnexOntario.
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The World Series field narrows quickly from here, with division series play already underway and the Dodgers set to learn their next opponent once the Phillies-Braves series concludes.