Kalshi Odds: Rams Still Super Bowl 61 Favourites After Week 1 Blowout
Despite a 27-7 loss to the 49ers in Melbourne, the Rams top Kalshi's Super Bowl 61 futures market at 13 percent.
This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by the ON360 newsroom.
The Los Angeles Rams remain the top pick to win Super Bowl 61 on Kalshi despite opening the NFL season with a lopsided 27-7 loss to the San Francisco 49ers in Melbourne, Australia, according to Gambling Insider. The prediction-market exchange has Los Angeles priced at 13 percent, equivalent to +669 in American odds, ahead of nine other contenders after Week 1.
Rams hold on after a rough start
Quarterback Matthew Stafford, the reigning NFL MVP, threw for just 155 yards with no touchdowns and one interception before being pulled in the fourth quarter. Reigning Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett will miss at least four games with a knee injury that has landed him on injured reserve.
Gambling Insider noted the Rams played the season opener after arriving in Australia only one day ahead of kickoff. Head coach Sean McVay’s roster still carries deep talent on both sides of the ball, and it remained unclear whether star defensive tackle Aaron Donald would suit up for the team’s Week 2 matchup against the Giants.
Bills, Ravens and Seahawks crowd the market
Buffalo sits second on Kalshi’s board at 9 percent (+1011) after a 36-31 win over Houston, with new receiver DJ Moore posting 100 receiving yards and a touchdown. Baltimore is priced at 8 percent (+1150) following a 41-23 rout of Indianapolis, with Derrick Henry rushing for 144 yards and three touchdowns and Zay Flowers hauling in 150 receiving yards under first-year defensive-minded head coach Jesse Minter.
Seattle is also tied at 8 percent after beating New England again, but quarterback Sam Darnold’s hip injury could keep him out four to six weeks. Backup Drew Lock filled in, and lead running back Zach Charbonnet remains sidelined recovering from a torn ACL.
San Francisco rounds out the leading group at 8 percent (+1150) after its Week 1 win. The 49ers entered Week 2 as the largest favourite on the board, giving 12.5 points at home to Miami. Wide receiver Ricky Pearsall was ruled out for the season with a knee injury, but new addition Mike Evans caught six passes for 49 yards and a touchdown in his debut, while Deebo Samuel matched him with six catches, 48 yards and a score.
Kansas City sits at 7 percent (+1329), with Chicago, Cincinnati and Philadelphia grouped at 5 percent and Detroit among six teams priced at 4 percent, alongside Houston, the Chargers, Jacksonville, Dallas, Green Bay and Denver. Gambling Insider’s own picks to win it all: Baltimore and San Francisco.
Where this leaves Canadian bettors
Kalshi operates as a U.S. derivatives exchange under Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversight and its Super Bowl contracts are not available to bettors in Ontario or elsewhere in Canada. Ontario sports bettors looking to back a team for Super Bowl 61 instead do so through AGCO-registered operators offering similar futures markets under the province’s regulated iGaming framework.
Those regulated platforms are required to provide responsible-gambling tools such as deposit limits and self-exclusion options, something unregulated prediction markets outside Canada generally do not offer to Canadian users. With the odds this tight through two weeks, the futures board is likely to keep shifting well into the fall.
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